Middlesbrough vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
BPO
1 - 1
MID
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
MID
3 - 2
NEW
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
MID
0 - 1
LIV
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1949 |
NEW
1 - 0
MID
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
ASV
2 - 1
STO
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
STO
2 - 0
PNE
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
STO
0 - 1
SHE
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1949 |
PNE
2 - 1
STO
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
WOL
3 - 1
STO
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |