Middlesbrough vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1938 |
MID
2 - 2
BIR
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1938 |
BIR
2 - 1
MID
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1938 |
MUD
1 - 1
MID
41%
23%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1938 |
DER
1 - 4
MID
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1938 |
MID
9 - 2
BPO
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 0
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1938 |
STO
3 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1938 |
STO
1 - 0
LEI
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1938 |
ARS
4 - 1
STO
66%
19%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1938 |
STO
1 - 1
OPA
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |