Middlesbrough vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
TOT
2 - 0
MID
54%
21%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
MID
4 - 1
LIV
51%
21%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
CHL
2 - 3
MID
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
MID
2 - 0
EVE
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1933 |
ARS
6 - 0
MID
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
STO
1 - 1
BIR
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
WBA
5 - 1
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
STO
1 - 1
ASV
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
SHE
1 - 2
STO
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1933 |
STO
1 - 1
WOL
41%
24%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |