Middlesbrough vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
BUR
3 - 0
MID
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
MID
1 - 1
PNE
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
PNE
1 - 2
MID
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
SHE
4 - 1
MID
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
STO
3 - 1
CAR
36%
27%
36%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
CAR
2 - 1
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
STO
1 - 1
BBU
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
STO
2 - 0
BOL
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
BOL
1 - 1
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |