Middlesbrough vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1997 |
MID
2 - 1
LIV
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
MID
6 - 0
CHE
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1997 |
ARS
2 - 0
MID
71%
18%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
COV
3 - 0
MID
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
MID
4 - 2
EVE
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
REA
3 - 1
SOU
20%
23%
57%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 1
LIV
27%
26%
46%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
TOT
3 - 1
SOU
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 1
DER
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 2
OXF
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |