Middlesbrough vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1982 |
TOT
1 - 0
MID
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
MID
0 - 1
IPS
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
COV
1 - 1
MID
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
MID
3 - 3
ASV
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
MID
0 - 0
SUN
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1982 |
SOU
3 - 1
ARS
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1982 |
EVE
1 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1981 |
SOU
3 - 1
SWA
76%
15%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1981 |
SOU
0 - 2
BHA
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
SOU
3 - 2
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |