Middlesbrough vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
LIV
4 - 0
MID
74%
18%
9%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
MID
1 - 1
BHA
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
MID
1 - 0
BRI
56%
26%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
EVE
0 - 2
MID
61%
23%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
MID
0 - 0
TOT
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
SOU
3 - 1
STO
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
IPS
3 - 1
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
NOR
2 - 1
SOU
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
SOU
4 - 1
NTT
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
MUD
1 - 0
SOU
66%
20%
13%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |