Middlesbrough vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
HUR
1 - 0
MID
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1923 |
MID
0 - 1
WBA
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
WBA
1 - 0
MID
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1923 |
MID
1 - 2
BBU
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1923 |
MID
2 - 0
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
NOT
2 - 1
BUR
34%
29%
38%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
BAR
3 - 0
NOT
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1922 |
NOT
0 - 0
LEI
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
COV
4 - 2
NOT
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
ROT
3 - 0
NOT
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |