Middlesbrough vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
MID
1 - 1
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
NOT
1 - 1
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 1
MID
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
MID
1 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
SUN
1 - 1
MID
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
NOT
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
NOT
1 - 1
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 0
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1920 |
CHL
2 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |