Middlesbrough vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
MID
1 - 4
BBU
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
BOL
4 - 0
MID
57%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1914 |
MID
1 - 1
MUD
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1914 |
OLD
5 - 1
MID
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1914 |
MID
1 - 3
BRA
72%
17%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
NEW
1 - 1
NOT
62%
21%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
NOT
1 - 2
TOT
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1914 |
BUR
0 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1914 |
NOT
0 - 0
BRA
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1914 |
CHL
4 - 1
NOT
59%
21%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |