Middlesbrough vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
MID
6 - 2
LEI
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
EVE
1 - 1
MID
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
MID
5 - 0
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
BRA
0 - 2
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1909 |
MID
1 - 4
CHL
62%
20%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
NOT
0 - 4
NEW
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
NOT
1 - 0
SHW
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOT
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1909 |
MUD
4 - 3
NOT
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |