Middlesbrough vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
BRI
0 - 1
MID
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1908 |
ARS
4 - 1
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
MID
3 - 1
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1908 |
EVE
2 - 1
MID
73%
17%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1908 |
MID
2 - 0
SHE
48%
23%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
NOT
2 - 2
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1908 |
ASV
5 - 1
NOT
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
PNE
1 - 0
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1908 |
NOT
1 - 0
MAC
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1908 |
BRI
2 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |