Middlesbrough vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
BRI
3 - 0
MID
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
MID
0 - 1
LIV
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
ASV
2 - 3
MID
88%
8%
4%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
MID
0 - 3
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
PNE
4 - 2
MID
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 0
MAC
34%
23%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
BCF
3 - 0
NOT
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
NOT
2 - 2
SHW
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOT
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 1
EVE
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |