Middlesbrough vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MID
1 - 0
BOU
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
STO
0 - 0
MID
50%
27%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
MID
1 - 0
SWA
29%
27%
45%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
HUR
1 - 2
MID
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
MID
1 - 2
PNE
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NTT
2 - 1
HUL
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 4
NTT
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NTT
2 - 0
POS
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
WBA
0 - 0
NTT
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
NTT
0 - 0
LUT
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |