Middlesbrough vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
BOL
1 - 1
MID
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
NTT
2 - 1
MID
29%
24%
48%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
MID
0 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
CAR
2 - 0
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
ARS
3 - 0
MID
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
STO
0 - 1
NTT
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
NTT
2 - 1
MID
29%
24%
48%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
NTT
1 - 0
BBU
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
BBU
2 - 0
NTT
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
WBA
0 - 0
NTT
64%
20%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |