Middlesbrough vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
EVE
2 - 0
MID
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 1
MID
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
MID
0 - 0
MAC
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
BBU
5 - 1
MID
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1910 |
MID
3 - 2
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 2
NOT
64%
19%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 1
MID
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
TOT
1 - 4
NTT
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 2
TOT
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1910 |
NEW
4 - 1
NTT
70%
17%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |