Middlesbrough vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ROT
0 - 3
MID
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MID
1 - 1
WAT
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
WOL
2 - 0
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BHA
1 - 2
MID
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MID
2 - 0
FUL
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
BOL
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SHW
0 - 0
NOR
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
LEE
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FUL
1 - 0
NOR
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
ROT
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |