Middlesbrough vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
MID
1 - 4
NEW
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
EVE
2 - 0
MID
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
BOL
1 - 0
MID
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
MID
0 - 4
ARS
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
MID
2 - 1
WHU
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
COL
3 - 1
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
NOR
2 - 0
BHA
31%
29%
40%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
OLD
4 - 2
NOR
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 2
NOT
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
NOR
2 - 1
QPR
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |