Middlesbrough vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
MIL
2 - 0
MID
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
LUT
1 - 0
MID
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
MID
1 - 1
COV
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1989 |
MID
2 - 2
TOT
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1989 |
SOU
1 - 3
MID
75%
17%
9%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1989 |
COV
1 - 2
NEW
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
NEW
2 - 2
LIV
21%
27%
52%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1989 |
NEW
0 - 2
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1989 |
WAT
1 - 0
NEW
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1989 |
NEW
0 - 0
WAT
62%
20%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |