Middlesbrough vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
MID
2 - 0
ASV
47%
23%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1952 |
NEW
0 - 2
MID
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1952 |
DER
3 - 1
MID
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1952 |
MID
2 - 2
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
ARS
3 - 1
MID
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
NEW
1 - 0
MAC
73%
16%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1952 |
NEW
0 - 2
MID
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1952 |
NEW
1 - 3
BPO
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1952 |
NEW
2 - 1
BBU
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1952 |
NEW
0 - 0
BBU
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |