Middlesbrough vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
CHL
1 - 1
MID
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1950 |
MID
3 - 1
OPA
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1950 |
MID
7 - 3
CHA
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1950 |
TOT
3 - 3
MID
55%
22%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1950 |
MID
4 - 3
BPO
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
EVE
3 - 1
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1950 |
NEW
3 - 1
STO
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1950 |
NEW
1 - 1
WOL
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1950 |
MUD
1 - 2
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1950 |
NEW
3 - 2
CHA
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |