Middlesbrough vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
NEW
0 - 1
MID
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
MID
3 - 0
HUR
64%
18%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1949 |
EVE
3 - 1
MID
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1949 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1949 |
STO
1 - 0
MID
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
NEW
0 - 1
MID
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
NEW
2 - 0
WOL
50%
22%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1949 |
OPA
1 - 0
NEW
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1949 |
NEW
2 - 2
CHL
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1949 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEW
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |