Middlesbrough vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
MID
0 - 1
LIV
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1949 |
NEW
1 - 0
MID
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
MID
1 - 0
DER
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1949 |
MID
1 - 0
HUR
63%
19%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
NEW
1 - 1
BOL
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1949 |
NEW
1 - 0
MID
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
DER
2 - 4
NEW
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1949 |
NEW
0 - 5
OPA
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
NEW
3 - 1
BPO
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |