Middlesbrough vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1930 |
CHL
4 - 0
MID
35%
24%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1930 |
MID
3 - 1
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1930 |
HUR
2 - 2
MID
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1930 |
MID
2 - 2
WHU
51%
21%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1930 |
BPO
3 - 2
MID
47%
21%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1930 |
NEW
0 - 4
LIV
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1930 |
BOL
0 - 3
NEW
55%
22%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1930 |
NEW
4 - 2
WHU
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1930 |
NEW
2 - 2
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1930 |
MUD
4 - 7
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |