Middlesbrough vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
ASV
5 - 3
MID
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
MID
1 - 4
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
OLD
1 - 2
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
MID
1 - 0
OLD
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
MUD
1 - 1
MID
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
NEW
1 - 0
PNE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
PNE
2 - 3
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
NEW
4 - 0
BRA
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
BRA
0 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |