Middlesbrough vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
LIV
0 - 1
MID
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
MID
0 - 1
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1908 |
MID
6 - 1
SHW
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
BCF
1 - 4
MID
60%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
MID
1 - 0
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
1 - 3
SUN
72%
16%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
74%
16%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
3 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 5
ASV
66%
19%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
2 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |