Middlesbrough vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1938 |
MID
4 - 1
WBA
58%
19%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
3 - 1
MID
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
MID
0 - 3
WOL
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 1
MID
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
BPO
4 - 2
MID
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1938 |
MUD
2 - 0
BCF
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
WHU
1 - 0
MUD
42%
24%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
MUD
3 - 1
BRA
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
MUD
4 - 0
BUR
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
SWA
2 - 2
MUD
32%
24%
44%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |