Middlesbrough vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
MID
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
MID
3 - 0
SCU
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 0
MID
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MID
0 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
MID
0 - 3
BPO
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
WOL
0 - 3
MAC
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
STO
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MAC
4 - 3
SUN
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
TOT
3 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BOL
3 - 3
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |