Middlesbrough vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
CHA
0 - 3
MID
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
MID
0 - 2
ASV
48%
23%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
WOL
3 - 1
MID
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1949 |
MID
1 - 2
FUL
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
MID
1 - 5
OPA
46%
23%
30%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
MAC
0 - 3
BPO
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
NEW
4 - 2
MAC
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
MAC
2 - 0
FUL
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1949 |
MAC
0 - 0
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
MUD
2 - 1
MAC
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |