Middlesbrough vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1936 |
WOL
4 - 0
MID
64%
18%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1936 |
MID
0 - 0
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1936 |
BIR
1 - 0
MID
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1936 |
SHW
0 - 0
MID
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1936 |
MID
5 - 0
SHW
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1936 |
GRI
3 - 1
MAC
60%
20%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1936 |
HUR
1 - 1
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1936 |
MAC
2 - 1
WOL
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1936 |
LEE
1 - 1
MAC
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1936 |
ASV
2 - 2
MAC
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |