Middlesbrough vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1935 |
SUN
2 - 1
MID
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1935 |
MID
6 - 1
BBU
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1935 |
CHL
2 - 1
MID
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1935 |
MID
2 - 2
LIV
53%
21%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1935 |
GRI
1 - 0
MID
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1935 |
MAC
3 - 0
SHW
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1935 |
BOL
3 - 3
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1935 |
MAC
1 - 0
EVE
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1935 |
DER
3 - 0
MAC
62%
19%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1935 |
MAC
2 - 1
BRE
78%
13%
10%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |