Middlesbrough vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1933 |
SHW
3 - 0
MID
67%
18%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1933 |
MID
0 - 3
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1933 |
WBA
3 - 0
MID
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1933 |
LEE
5 - 2
MID
48%
23%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1933 |
MID
3 - 1
DER
52%
22%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1933 |
MAC
2 - 2
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1933 |
ARS
1 - 1
MAC
75%
15%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1933 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1933 |
LEI
0 - 0
MAC
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1933 |
BIR
0 - 1
MAC
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |