Middlesbrough vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
MID
2 - 0
DER
65%
19%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
DER
1 - 2
MID
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
MAC
1 - 0
MID
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
PNE
3 - 1
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
MID
4 - 1
PNE
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
MAC
3 - 1
BUR
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
MAC
1 - 0
MID
60%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
MAC
4 - 1
ARS
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 2
MAC
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |