Middlesbrough vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1913 |
TOT
0 - 1
MID
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
SHE
3 - 1
MID
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
MID
5 - 2
ASV
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
LIV
2 - 1
MID
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
MID
3 - 0
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
LIV
4 - 2
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 1
PNE
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
MAC
0 - 2
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |