Middlesbrough vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
LIV
4 - 2
MID
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1913 |
MUD
2 - 3
MID
68%
18%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1913 |
BUR
3 - 1
MID
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1913 |
MID
0 - 2
SUN
42%
24%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1913 |
BBU
5 - 2
MID
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAC
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1913 |
MAC
2 - 0
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1913 |
MAC
0 - 1
ARS
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1913 |
CHL
2 - 1
MAC
44%
25%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 1
MAC
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |