Middlesbrough vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
55%
23%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
MID
2 - 1
SHW
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1909 |
PNE
1 - 1
MID
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
MID
4 - 0
BRI
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
MID
1 - 2
NOT
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 1
PNE
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1909 |
LEI
3 - 1
MAC
31%
23%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
MAC
0 - 2
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1909 |
NOT
5 - 1
MAC
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
MAC
2 - 2
ARS
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |