Middlesbrough vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1937 |
LEE
5 - 3
MID
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1937 |
MID
1 - 2
BOL
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
MID
2 - 2
BPO
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
HUR
3 - 0
MID
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1937 |
MID
4 - 2
LEI
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1937 |
LEE
5 - 3
MID
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1937 |
LEE
2 - 1
MAC
43%
22%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1937 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEE
65%
18%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
LEE
4 - 3
SUN
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
ARS
4 - 1
LEE
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |