Middlesbrough vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 1
MID
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
LIV
2 - 0
MID
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
MID
0 - 2
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
TOT
2 - 0
MID
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
MID
2 - 0
TOT
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1923 |
CHL
3 - 1
EVE
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
EVE
3 - 1
CHL
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
STO
4 - 1
EVE
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
EVE
4 - 0
STO
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
HUR
1 - 0
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |