Middlesbrough vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
NOT
1 - 1
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 1
MID
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
MID
1 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
SUN
1 - 1
MID
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
MID
0 - 2
SUN
42%
23%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
EVE
4 - 0
DER
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
EVE
3 - 0
SHE
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
SHE
1 - 1
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
EVE
0 - 0
MUD
63%
20%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 0
EVE
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |