Middlesbrough vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1915 |
WBA
1 - 0
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
MID
2 - 3
SUN
42%
23%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
NOT
5 - 1
MID
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
MID
1 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
MID
1 - 4
BBU
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1915 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
EVE
1 - 1
TOT
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
BRA
0 - 1
EVE
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
EVE
1 - 1
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
CHL
2 - 0
EVE
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |