Middlesbrough vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
NEW
2 - 0
MID
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
MID
3 - 2
SUN
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
NOT
2 - 1
MID
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
MID
2 - 1
NTT
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
PNE
1 - 0
MID
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
EVE
2 - 1
SUN
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
NTT
1 - 0
EVE
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
EVE
0 - 2
BBU
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
CHL
0 - 1
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
EVE
3 - 1
BOL
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |