Middlesbrough vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
MID
2 - 3
MUD
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1950 |
MID
4 - 1
LIV
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
MAC
0 - 1
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
MID
1 - 0
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
DER
2 - 1
FUL
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
NEW
2 - 1
DER
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1950 |
DER
2 - 1
OPA
57%
20%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1950 |
DER
1 - 2
EVE
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1950 |
WOL
4 - 1
DER
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |