Middlesbrough vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
LEI
3 - 1
MID
46%
21%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1935 |
MID
3 - 3
BBU
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1935 |
MID
0 - 0
SUN
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1935 |
MAC
6 - 2
MID
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1935 |
BIR
4 - 2
MID
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
DER
1 - 2
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1935 |
GRI
1 - 3
DER
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1935 |
TOT
2 - 2
DER
50%
22%
27%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1935 |
DER
3 - 1
SUN
58%
21%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1935 |
LEI
0 - 1
DER
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |