Middlesbrough vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
BIR
1 - 4
MID
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1932 |
MID
1 - 2
SUN
53%
21%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
MID
1 - 1
HUR
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
CHL
2 - 1
MID
46%
22%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
MID
5 - 4
OPA
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
DER
2 - 3
HUR
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1932 |
CHL
1 - 3
DER
46%
24%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
DER
2 - 0
EVE
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
ARS
3 - 3
DER
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
DER
4 - 0
MAC
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |