Middlesbrough vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
MID
0 - 1
BRE
36%
28%
37%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
LUT
3 - 3
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
MID
1 - 1
ASS
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 3
MID
19%
22%
59%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
HEI
5 - 1
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
OLD
1 - 2
CRE
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CRE
0 - 3
PLY
53%
24%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
WRE
0 - 1
CRE
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 5
CRE
57%
22%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 0
BUR
10%
17%
73%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |