FA Cup Semi-finals
Global 6-3
Middlesbrough vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1997 |
WHU
0 - 0
MID
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
LEI
1 - 1
MID
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1997 |
MID
1 - 1
NTT
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
MID
1 - 0
CHL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1997 |
MID
2 - 1
BBU
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1997 |
CHE
0 - 0
WAT
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
CHE
2 - 2
GIL
59%
26%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1997 |
WAL
1 - 1
CHE
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
CHE
0 - 0
BPO
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 0
CHE
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |