Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
EVE
1 - 0
MID
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
MID
3 - 0
BAN
54%
24%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
MID
2 - 1
BIR
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MID
2 - 1
CRY
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
FUL
0 - 2
MID
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
CHL
0 - 0
TOT
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
PSG
0 - 3
CHL
40%
27%
33%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHL
26%
27%
47%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CHL
2 - 1
SOU
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
CRY
0 - 2
CHL
15%
24%
61%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |