Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
WBA
2 - 0
MID
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
LIV
2 - 0
MID
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1978 |
IPS
2 - 1
MID
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
MID
2 - 0
SOU
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
COV
2 - 1
MID
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
CHL
0 - 1
ASV
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
CHL
0 - 1
MUD
33%
24%
43%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
LEE
2 - 1
CHL
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
CHL
1 - 3
TOT
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
EVE
3 - 2
CHL
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |