Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
QPR
1 - 0
MID
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
MID
2 - 2
NTT
38%
29%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1978 |
MID
0 - 1
LEI
56%
26%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
MAC
2 - 2
MID
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1978 |
IPS
1 - 1
MID
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
NTT
3 - 1
CHL
73%
17%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1978 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARS
38%
26%
35%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
WHU
3 - 1
CHL
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1978 |
BRI
3 - 0
CHL
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
CHL
2 - 2
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |