Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
MID
6 - 0
ASV
57%
20%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
SHE
1 - 0
MID
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
MID
1 - 4
MUD
45%
23%
31%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
HUR
0 - 0
MID
40%
23%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
MID
0 - 1
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
CHL
4 - 1
WOL
41%
23%
37%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
CHL
2 - 1
ASV
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
SHE
2 - 1
CHL
60%
19%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |